From Digital Grievance to Actionable Insights: Leveraging Machine Learning Sentiment Classification to Enhance Operational Efficiency among Lagos State Power Consumers
Abstract:
Nigeria's electricity distribution companies (DisCos), particularly those operating within Lagos State, are confronted with an unprecedented and chaotic influx of customer grievances channelled through social media platforms, mobile applications, and web-based customer portals. Manual triage of these unstructured complaints — spanning billing discrepancies, estimated billing, power outages, and prepaid meter faults — has produced severe processing backlogs, protracted resolution latency, and eroded consumer trust. This study examines the extent to which Machine Learning Sentiment Classification, Automated Text Analytics, and Real-Time AI Emotion Detection Systems (independent variables) influence Operational Efficiency, Consumer Dissatisfaction Polarity, Customer Trust, and Complaint Resolution Latency (dependent variables) among Lagos State power consumers. Employing a mixed-methods, longitudinal panel design anchored on secondary and primary data spanning 2013 to 2025 and drawn from Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) records, DisCo customer service logs, and social media analytics, alongside supervised machine learning classifiers (Support Vector Machines, Naïve Bayes, and transformer-based BERT models), the study finds that sentiment-driven triage systems are associated with a reduction in average resolution latency of over 40 percent and a statistically significant improvement in Service Level Agreement (SLA) compliance. The findings offer actionable, evidence-based recommendations for DisCo management, regulators, and technology partners seeking to transition from reactive complaint management toward proactive, data-driven customer experience governance.
KeyWords:
machine learning, sentiment classification, operational efficiency, complaint resolution latency, electricity distribution companies, Lagos State, customer trust, automated text analytics
References:
- Adenikinju, A. (2021). Power sector reform in Nigeria: A decade in review. Journal of African Development Studies, 12(2), 45–67.
- Adeyemi, T., & Okonkwo, C. (2022). Customer relationship management and complaint resolution in Nigerian electricity distribution companies. Nigerian Journal of Management Sciences, 18(1), 88–104.
- Akinwale, O., & Eze, F. (2022). Sentiment analysis of social media banking complaints in Nigeria: A machine learning approach. African Journal of Information Systems, 14(3), 112–130.
- Amadi, K., & Chukwu, N. (2021). Regulatory compliance and consumer complaint handling among Nigerian DisCos. Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Review, 9(1), 21–39.
- Channels Television. (2024, March 14). Lagos residents protest estimated billing as complaints trend on X. Channels Television News.
- Chukwuemeka, I., & Yusuf, A. (2023). Automated text analytics in African utility customer service: Opportunities and constraints. International Journal of Digital Economy, 7(2), 55–74.
- Consumer Advocacy for Universal Electricity Rights [CAUSE-Nigeria]. (2023). State of consumer digital advocacy in Nigeria's power sector: 2023 report. CAUSE-Nigeria Publications.
- Davis, F. D. (1989). Perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, and user acceptance of information technology. MIS Quarterly, 13(3), 319–340.
- Deloitte. (2022). Global power and utilities industry outlook: AI-enabled customer experience. Deloitte Insights.
- Energy UK. (2023). Digital complaint handling and Ombudsman escalation trends in the UK energy retail market. Energy UK Publications.
- Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission [FCCPC]. (2023). Annual consumer complaints and enforcement report. FCCPC.
- Ibrahim, M., & Adeleke, S. (2024). Real-time social listening and reputational risk management among Nigerian utilities. Journal of African Business Studies, 15(1), 33–50.
- Liu, B. (2020). Sentiment analysis: Mining opinions, sentiments, and emotions (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press.
- Mayer, R. C., Davis, J. H., & Schoorman, F. D. (1995). An integrative model of organizational trust. Academy of Management Review, 20(3), 709–734.
- Medhat, W., Hassan, A., & Korashy, H. (2014). Sentiment analysis algorithms and applications: A survey. Ain Shams Engineering Journal, 5(4), 1093–1113.
- Nigerian Communications Commission [NCC]. (2024). Subscriber and broadband penetration statistics report. NCC.
- Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission [NERC]. (2007). Customer complaints handling standards and procedures. NERC.
- Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission [NERC]. (2018). Meter Asset Provider regulations. NERC.
- Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission [NERC]. (2022). Nigerian Electricity Supply Industry (NESI) annual report. NERC.
- Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission [NERC]. (2024). Consumer complaints bulletin, Q4 2024. NERC.
- Ogunleye, T., & Bello, R. (2023). Social media sentiment and electricity distribution company grievances in Lagos State. Journal of Nigerian Energy Studies, 11(2), 77–96.
- Oliver, R. L. (1980). A cognitive model of the antecedents and consequences of satisfaction decisions. Journal of Marketing Research, 17(4), 460–469.
- Oseni, M. O. (2020). Electricity distribution privatisation and consumer welfare in Nigeria. Energy Policy Journal, 138, 111–245.
- Owusu, K., & Mensah, D. (2021). Complaint management inefficiencies at the Electricity Company of Ghana. Ghana Journal of Energy Studies, 6(1), 19–35.
- Parasuraman, A., Zeithaml, V. A., & Berry, L. L. (1988). SERVQUAL: A multiple-item scale for measuring consumer perceptions of service quality. Journal of Retailing, 64(1), 12–40.
- Punch Newspapers. (2024, July 9). Backlog: Lagos DisCos struggle with billing complaint resolution. Punch Newspapers.
- Statista. (2024). Social media usage in Nigeria — statistics and facts. Statista Research Department.
- Venkatesh, V., & Bala, H. (2008). Technology Acceptance Model 3 and a research agenda on interventions. Decision Sciences, 39(2), 273–315.
- Wibowo, A., & Prasetyo, B. (2022). Hybrid machine learning models for code-switched sentiment classification in Southeast Asian telecommunications. Asian Journal of Computational Linguistics, 9(1), 41–60.
- World Bank. (2023). Nigeria electricity sector recovery programme: Implementation status and results report. World Bank Group.
- Zhang, Y., Roberts, L., & Chen, H. (2021). Deep learning sentiment classification for utility customer complaint triage. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 68(4), 1122–1135.